New Apology

The Future Is Already Here

The future is already here. It's just not very evenly distributed.
William Gibson


Being contemporary is about how you relate to the emergent now. It's about meeting the future as it arrives, greeting its inevitability. That proximity to the arrival of the now largely determines alpha in markets. It's not that some companies exist in the future and others dwell on the past; it's how those companies orient themselves to both. Downstream, the same phenomena are labeled differently: what one calls speculative, the other has already made ordinary.

Diffusion of innovations, after Everett M. Rogers (1962). Innovators 2.5%, early adopters 13.5%, early majority 34%, late majority 34%, laggards 16%.

A brand lives in these conditions. Its position means something only next to real needs, consumer expectations, and possibility. Yet, many choose to ignore the context and instead cobble together, or far worse force, identity in isolation. This is why we have so many brittly beautiful things that have so little to say. The world is part of the work.

Being contemporary for brands is about choosing to confront the ever-arriving present from the future without judgement. Judgement sneaks in when we become too secure in what the past has taught us. Lessons tend to outlive their usefulness in an accelerating world. The danger is honoring old conclusions without checking if the ground has moved beneath them. We grow more and more certain about a world that is no longer here.¹

We want to stay available to what is happening. That does not mean blind adoption or tokenmaxxing or mistaking novelty for importance. For us, it means letting the present change our minds. Only in proximity to the arrival of the present does the future become something we no longer need to extrapolate. More often it is something to stop refusing.

  1. 1

    Paul Graham: "When experts are wrong, it's often because they're experts on an earlier version of the world." From his essay How to Be an Expert in a Changing World.